[SMM Nickel Midday Review] Nickel prices fell sharply on December 15, while the value added of industrial enterprises above the designated size increased by 4.8% YoY in November.

Published: Dec 15, 2025 11:36

SMM Nickel December 15 News:

Macro and Market News:

(1) Data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed that in November, the value-added of industrial enterprises above the designated size increased by 4.8% YoY in real terms. On a MoM basis, the value-added of industrial enterprises above the designated size increased by 0.44% from the previous month. From January to November, the value-added of industrial enterprises above the designated size increased by 6.0% YoY.

(2) Three departments, including the Ministry of Commerce, issued a notice proposing 11 measures to strengthen business and financial coordination to boost consumption, including the use of digital yuan red packets and the development of consumer loans. Meanwhile, the national consumer goods trade-in subsidy policy has entered its final stage, with the consumption rate of the fourth batch of 69 billion yuan in funds exceeding 90%.

Spot Market:

On December 15, the SMM #1 refined nickel price ranged from 114,500 to 120,200 yuan/mt, with an average price of 117,350 yuan/mt, down 850 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The mainstream spot premium quotation range for Jinchuan #1 refined nickel was 5,100-5,500 yuan/mt, with an average premium of 5,300 yuan/mt, up 100 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The spot premiums and discounts quotation range for mainstream domestic brands of electrodeposited nickel was -100-400 yuan/mt.

Futures Market:

The most-traded SHFE nickel contract (2601) pulled back after hitting highs during the night session and fluctuated at lows in the morning session. By the close, it was quoted at 114,710 yuan/mt, down 0.86%.

Under the combined pressure of high inventory and oversupply in the nickel market's fundamentals, prices may continue to be in the doldrums in the short term. The price range for the most-traded SHFE nickel contract is expected to be 112,000-116,000 yuan/mt.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
Feb 7, 2026 16:41
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
Read More
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
[SMM Nickel Flash] Based on nickel ore prices from 25 days ago, smelter profits for high-grade NPI remained high this week. However, from the current raw material side, ore prices from both the Philippines and Indonesia increased, while auxiliary material prices saw a slight pullback, leading to an increase in the cash cost of producing high-grade NPI from spot ore. At the same time, high-grade NPI prices experienced some pullback, making it difficult for smelter profits to see sustained improvement.
Feb 7, 2026 16:41
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
Feb 7, 2026 16:40
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
Read More
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
[SMM Nickel Flash] This week, due to a sharp decline in futures triggering arbitrage selling, high-grade NPI prices fell significantly. However, after the selling activity subsided, upstream quotations and the market center gradually returned to normal levels, supported by cost factors. Looking ahead, as the Chinese New Year holiday approaches, market activity is expected to remain subdued, and high-grade NPI prices are projected to hover at highs with limited fluctuations.
Feb 7, 2026 16:40
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Feb 7, 2026 16:39
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Read More
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
[SMM Nickel Flash] The SMM average price of 10-12% high-grade NPI fell 17.2 yuan/mtu WoW to 1,035.8 yuan/mtu (ex-factory, tax included), while the Indonesia NPI FOB index average price dropped 2.06 $/mtu WoW to 131.2 $/mtu. At the beginning of the week, futures hit limit-down, and nickel prices fell sharply WoW, driving the emergence of arbitrage supplies sold at low prices, leading to a significant decline in high-grade NPI prices.
Feb 7, 2026 16:39
[SMM Nickel Midday Review] Nickel prices fell sharply on December 15, while the value added of industrial enterprises above the designated size increased by 4.8% YoY in November. - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)